Sustainability and indirect land use change

cranesCurrent biofuel production is based on the use of feedstocks rich in starches, sugars or lipids. In recent decades, growing biofuel mandates across the world have consumed an increasing share of global agricultural production, and as production has risen, so have concerns about the impact of this consumption on the wider global system. The assessment of indirect land use change (ILUC) and the other indirect impacts of biofuel production is a complex topic, and since the initial economic modelling assessment of ILUC was published in 2008 there have been many methodological developments and many attempts to quantify ILUC effects. In parallel, the discussion about the impact of biofuel consumption on food prices and security has been heated, often emotive, and informed by a full spectrum of analysis and hyperbole. The impacts and potential impacts of biofuel production on soil quality, water use, biodiversity and human rights are equally important and similarly contested. Cerulogy aims to bring a level head to these complex discussions.

We’re interested in the ideas behind the modelling, the assumptions and data inputs that drive the results, and in thinking about how the evidence from ILUC assessment can best be used to inform policy making.

Updated evidence on ‘high indirect land-use change risk’ biofuel feedstock

January 22, 2026/by Chris Malins

Diverted harvest: Environmental Risk from Growth in International Biofuel Demand

October 9, 2025/by Cato Sandford

Deforestation risk from Nordic alternative fuel policy

May 7, 2025/by Cato Sandford

Full steam ahead?

February 17, 2025/by Cato Sandford

Remember the AVMO: Growth of the USA’s renewable diesel production capacity

December 12, 2024/by Cato Sandford

Biofuels and food markets

September 9, 2024/by Chris Malins

‘Low ILUC-Risk’ as a Sustainability Standard for Biofuels in the EU

June 10, 2024/by Chris Malins

Low ILUC pilots and guidance

April 5, 2024/by Chris Malins

High and low ILUC risk – technical assistance to the European Commission

January 10, 2024/by Chris Malins

BIKE biofuels

July 3, 2023/by Chris Malins

The fat of the land

July 3, 2023/by Chris Malins

Challenges and Recommendations for Improved Identification of Low ILUC-Risk Agricultural Biomass

May 10, 2023/by Chris Malins

Considerations for addressing indirect land use change in Danish biofuel regulation

June 28, 2022/by Chris Malins

Multiple and cover cropping in Brazil

January 19, 2022/by Chris Malins

Animal, vegetable or mineral (oil)?

January 17, 2022/by Chris Malins

Soy, land use change and ILUC-risk

November 15, 2020/by Chris Malins

Accentuating the positive?

April 30, 2020/by Chris Malins

Biofuel to the fire

April 30, 2020/by Chris Malins

Destination deforestation

March 3, 2020/by Chris Malins

The (environmental) price of FAME

March 29, 2019/by Chris Malins

Comparing GTAP ILUC results to observations of ethanol related land use change

March 29, 2019/by Chris Malins

Accentuating the positive – has optimism bias driven reductions in ILUC estimates?

March 29, 2019/by Chris Malins

Risk management

January 24, 2019/by Chris Malins

Driving deforestation

February 6, 2018/by Chris Malins

Thought for food

September 15, 2017/by Chris Malins

Navigating the maize

July 13, 2017/by Chris Malins

For peat’s sake

June 13, 2017/by Chris Malins

Denial of long-term issues with agriculture on tropical peatlands will have devastating consequences

September 30, 2016/by Chris Malins